An Intuitive Introduction to Probability

An Intuitive Introduction to Probability

Instructor: Karl Schmedders

90,101 already enrolled

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5 modules

Gain insight into a topic and learn the fundamentals.

1,883 reviews

Beginner level

No prior experience required

Flexible schedule

3 weeks at 10 hours a week

Learn at your own pace

93%

Most learners liked this course

5 modules

Gain insight into a topic and learn the fundamentals.

1,883 reviews

Beginner level

No prior experience required

Flexible schedule

3 weeks at 10 hours a week

Learn at your own pace

93%

Most learners liked this course

Skills you'll gain

Details to know

Shareable certificate

Add to your LinkedIn profile

Assessments

32 assignments

Taught in English

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There are 5 modules in this course

This course will provide you with a basic, intuitive and practical introduction into Probability Theory. You will be able to learn how to apply Probability Theory in different scenarios and you will earn a "toolbox" of methods to deal with uncertainty in your daily life.

The course is split in 5 modules. In each module you will first have an easy introduction into the topic, which will serve as a basis to further develop your knowledge about the topic and acquire the "tools" to deal with uncertainty. Additionally, you will have the opportunity to complete 5 exercise sessions to reflect about the content learned in each module and start applying your earned knowledge right away. The topics covered are: "Probability", "Conditional Probability", "Applications", "Random Variables", and "Normal Distribution". You will see how the modules are taught in a lively way, focusing on having an entertaining and useful learning experience! We are looking forward to see you online!

In this module we will learn about probabilities and perform our first calculations using probability formulas. We want to get comfortable with the idea that probabilities describe the chance of uncertain events occurring.

What's included

7 videos1 reading7 assignments

7 videosTotal 63 minutes

Welcome6 minutes
Introduction6 minutes
Definition and Rules13 minutes
A First Look at Statistical Independence10 minutes
Subjective Probabilities10 minutes
Empirical Probabilities: Benford's Law11 minutes
Exercise7 minutes

1 readingTotal 120 minutes

Script: Part 1120 minutes

7 assignmentsTotal 210 minutes

Introductory Quiz30 minutes
1.130 minutes
1.230 minutes
1.330 minutes
1.430 minutes
1.530 minutes
1.630 minutes

The arrival of new information may lead us to alter our probabilistic assessments of uncertain events. In this module, we will learn how the concept of "conditional" probabilities allows us to make these changes correctly. Script of the course can be found here: https://www.coursera.org/learn/introductiontoprobability/resources/qxi9W

What's included

6 videos1 reading6 assignments

We will discuss some fascinating every-day applications of probability. In addition to entertaining examples, we will also review very serious applications from finance and law.

What's included

6 videos6 assignments

In this module we move beyond probabilities and learn about important summary measures such as expected values, variances, and standard deviations. We also learn about the most popular discrete probability distribution, the binomial distribution.

What's included

8 videos1 reading8 assignments

8 videosTotal 80 minutes

Discrete Random Variables11 minutes
Expected Value13 minutes
Measures of Dispersion9 minutes
Application: Financial Model6 minutes
Binomial Distribution18 minutes
Application: Airline Overbooking12 minutes
Exercise 16 minutes
Exercise 26 minutes

1 readingTotal 120 minutes

Script: Part 4120 minutes

8 assignmentsTotal 240 minutes

4.130 minutes
4.230 minutes
4.330 minutes
4.430 minutes
4.530 minutes
4.630 minutes
4.730 minutes
4.830 minutes

We want to get comfortable with the normal distribution. We will discuss what the famous bell curve really represents. And we will learn how easy it is to calculate normal probabilities.

What's included

6 videos1 reading5 assignments

6 videosTotal 57 minutes

Continuous Random Variables15 minutes
Normal Distribution10 minutes
Calculating Normal Probabilities9 minutes
Calculations with the Normal Distribution8 minutes
Application of the Normal Distribution8 minutes
Exercise8 minutes

1 readingTotal 120 minutes

Script: Part 5120 minutes

5 assignmentsTotal 150 minutes

5.130 minutes
5.230 minutes
5.330 minutes
5.430 minutes
5.530 minutes

Instructor

Instructor ratings

(620 ratings)

Karl Schmedders

University of Zurich

1 Course90,101 learners

Offered by

University of Zurich

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Reviewed on Apr 27, 2022

Wow. What an amazing journey. Engaging, exciting, and as far from broring as it is possible while providing actual knowledge. Perfect balance. The only downside of this course is that is it too short.

Reviewed on Mar 23, 2023

It's a great course, loved the way Prof. Karl Schmedders explains things. However one area of improvement of this course is - the methods adopted in the exercises needed to be covered in the lectures.

Reviewed on May 21, 2020

I really enjoyed this course. The explanations are clear and, as suggested by the title, the lecturer uses intuition and daily-life examples rather than abstract and formal definitions and notations.

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